Agent-economy observatory

Work market · moltjobsPaid activity · populations, not a funnelSettlement · x402statsCapability · smithery_mcpFetch · on load and RefreshPoll · none

Open this page or click Refresh to load current named-source observations through SameDayDesk. Freshness is per source. Each metric keeps its provider definition. MoltJobs totals, marketplace, and liquidity stay in their own populations. This page does not add the sources together.

One snapshot request and one registry request on load, and again only on Refresh. Missing fields stay missing. A failed read is not a zero. Marketplace settled work is not the same thing as registered agents or catalog listings. These are three provider feeds, not a total of the agent economy, not global agent traffic, and not Neomorphic customers.

TransportThis page does not GET the named upstreams from the browser. A browser can read a cross-origin body only when that origin sends Access-Control-Allow-Origin. Those upstreams have historically omitted that header or required a specific User-Agent, so a static page here cannot treat a direct read as the product path. SameDayDesk fetches the fixed named sources and returns labelled JSON envelopes. That is a labelled transport change, not a hidden proxy, and not an arbitrary URL proxy.

Open the live boardFreshness · three sources Open the paid-activity drilldownPopulations · bounded ratios Open the operator decisionAttention vs paid activity Open the consumer exampleChoose · retain · no purchase Read the honesty scheduleWhat this does not add Open the public JS sourceMIT · static files MoltJobs market observationsS49 · still present Return to the laboratoryRelease register

§ 01Live board

One snapshot, then an honest receipt per source.

Bridge base: https://samedaydesk.com/api/observatory. Snapshot: https://samedaydesk.com/api/observatory/snapshot. Registry: https://samedaydesk.com/api/observatory/sources. Timeout is 8 seconds, then abort. A CORS failure is labelled CORS. A non-200 from the bridge is labelled HTTP. Unusable JSON is labelled parse. A DNS or connection break is labelled network.

Asking SameDayDesk once for the observatory snapshot.

Bridge base: https://samedaydesk.com/api/observatory
snapshot GET: https://samedaydesk.com/api/observatory/snapshot
sources GET: https://samedaydesk.com/api/observatory/sources
snapshot fetchedAt: pending Observer clock for this request. Not a provider clock.
Snapshot HTTP: pending
Registry HTTP: pending
Cross-source sum: refused

Freshness per source

Waiting for the first fetch. Zeros will not be drawn in place of a failed read.

Network receipt

Browser fetch receipt · SameDayDesk observatory, not a hidden Neo proxy

pending

Warnings

§ 02Work market

MoltJobs provider aggregates, not demand.

Upstream: https://api.moltjobs.io/v1/stats. Kind: work_market. This does establish: MoltJobs provider aggregates split into totals (including platform programs), ordinary marketplace work, liquidity agent sets, and itemised platform programs at the moment of this fetch.

This does not establish: agent traffic, unique humans, customers, repeat demand, a registration-to-paid conversion funnel, profit, or a total of the agent economy.

fetchedAt: pending
providerTimestamp: pendingpending
Upstream HTTP: pending
Cache: pending

Waiting for the first fetch.

§ 03Paid activity

Marketplace counts are not registered agents.

This drilldown uses the same snapshot. MoltJobs data.totalJobs includes platform programs. data.marketplace excludes PLATFORM_MARKETING and PLATFORM_REFERRAL. data.liquidity.registeredAgents, agentsEverPaid, and agentsBidding30d are different populations and different windows. Bounded ratios appear only when the denominator, population, and window align.

This does not establish repeat demand, unique humans, or that registrations convert into paid work. x402stats has no registered-vs-paid split; organic fields are heuristics. Smithery pagination.totalCount is catalog registration, not paid customers.

Waiting for the first snapshot. Missing marketplace fields will not be drawn as zero.

x402stats has no registered-vs-paid population. Organic fields are provider heuristics, not paid customers.

Smithery catalog registrations are not paid demand, traffic, or heartbeats.

Downloadable interpretation examples

These are bounded source/interpretation examples, not live private receipts.

MoltJobs paid-activity examplePopulations · raw paths Refused funnel exampleNot a conversion rate x402stats heuristic exampleOrganic is not paid customers Smithery catalog exampleListings are not demand

§ 04Settlement

x402stats provider window, not global agent traffic.

Upstream: https://x402stats.io/api/stats. Kind: settlement. Organic sellers and organic volume are provider heuristics. They are not unique customers and not independently verified organic demand.

This does not establish: global agent traffic, unique customers, independently verified organic demand, or a sum with other sources.

fetchedAt: pending
providerTimestamp: pendingpending
Upstream HTTP: pending
Cache: pending

Waiting for the first fetch.

Provider series (if present)

If the envelope includes an x402stats series, it is shown as a table and labelled provider series only. A growth chart is not drawn. Comparable time-series with a shared definition do not exist across these sources.

§ 05Capability discovery

Smithery catalog registrations, not heartbeats.

Upstream: https://api.smithery.ai/servers?pageSize=1. Kind: capability_discovery. The count is pagination.totalCount when the envelope maps it. That is catalog registration, not runtime traffic.

This does not establish: runtime heartbeats, active traffic, installs, paid customers, or that a capability is safe or paid.

fetchedAt: pending
providerTimestamp: pendingpending
Upstream HTTP: pending
Cache: pending

Waiting for the first fetch.

§ 06Operator decision

Attention is not paid demand. Retain evidence. Stop.

A prospective agent or operator can read the paid-activity drilldown, keep the source ids and clocks, and refuse funnel math that mixes populations. Sparse marketplace completions or funded employers next to a large registered-agent count do not become a conversion rate. This page does not place a bid and does not execute a purchase.

Read data.marketplace settled counts and funded employers as ordinary paid-activity signals, when present.
Keep data.liquidity.agentsEverPaid in its own population. Do not divide it by registeredAgents.
Do not treat Smithery catalog registrations or x402stats heuristic organic fields as paid customers.
Stop. No checkout, no wallet, no bid from this page.

Waiting for the first snapshot before an operator reading can be retained.

§ 07Consumer example

Fetch, choose an existing reference, retain evidence, stop.

A consumer of this observatory can fetch the snapshot, choose an existing capability or workflow reference already present in the capability source, and keep the evidence ids and timestamps. This page does that in the browser. It does not execute a purchase.

Fetch /api/observatory/snapshot (and the registry) through SameDayDesk.
Read the smithery_mcp envelope and take an existing catalog row from the bounded excerpt, if one is there.
Retain source ids, reference ids, fetchedAt, and providerTimestamp.
Stop. No checkout, no wallet, no micropayment.

Waiting for the first snapshot before a reference can be chosen.

§ 08Honesty

Three feeds, not one market number.

Source	This page says	This page does not say
`moltjobs` totals	Provider aggregates including platform programs (`data.totalJobs` and kin)	Ordinary third-party demand, or live agent traffic
`moltjobs` marketplace	Ordinary work excluding PLATFORM_MARKETING and PLATFORM_REFERRAL	Repeat demand, unique humans, or a conversion from registrations
`moltjobs` liquidity	Distinct agent sets: registered, ever paid, bidding 30d	One funnel from attention to paid work
`x402stats`	Settlement-window aggregates from that provider, including heuristic “organic” fields	A paid-customer population, unique customers, or a shared series with MoltJobs
`smithery_mcp`	Catalog registration count, plus one excerpt row when present	Heartbeats, installs, paid customers, or that the listed capability ran
x402scan	Documented as unavailable without micropayment	A successful read. This page does not call it.
Cross-source total	Refused	A “total agent economy” figure, a ranking of incomparable scalars, or a growth chart

Bounded ratios and refused funnel math

Kind	Expression	This page does
Allowed when aligned	`data.marketplace.completed / data.marketplace.jobs`	Emit only if same population, same window, denominator ≠ 0, and completed ≤ jobs
Allowed when aligned	`data.marketplace.fundedEmployers / data.marketplace.employers`	Emit only if same employer population and funded is the official escrow-funded subset
Refused	`data.liquidity.agentsEverPaid / data.liquidity.registeredAgents`	Different populations, not a conversion funnel
Refused	`data.liquidity.agentsBidding30d / data.liquidity.registeredAgents`	30-day window versus lifetime registered agent records
Refused	`data.marketplace.completed / data.totalCompleted`	Marketplace excludes programs; totals include them
Refused	`snapshot.organicSellers / snapshot.sellers`	Organic is a provider heuristic, not paid customers
Refused	`pagination.totalCount` as paid demand	Catalog registrations are not paid customers or traffic
Refused	Any MoltJobs metric / any x402stats or smithery metric	Named sources are not additive

Static originNeomorphic builds with output: "static". This origin does not host the live bridge. The browser fetches SameDayDesk observatory routes. The S49 market-observations lab remains at /labs/market-observations/ and still uses its moltjobs-stats bridge. This page does not replace it.

§ 09Source

The JS this page runs is a public URL.

Reviewers can open the same files the browser loads. License: MIT. There is no npm package for this page. overlay only

page.jsLoad and Refresh only fetch-observatory.jsNamed routes · CORS · timeout envelope.jsMissing is not zero contract.jsNamed sources · not additive paid-activity.jsPopulations · bounded ratios LICENSEMIT SOURCE.txtFile list

curl · snapshot (what this tab reads)

curl -sS -D - -H 'Origin: https://neomorphic.io' -H 'Accept: application/json' https://samedaydesk.com/api/observatory/snapshot

curl · registry

curl -sS -D - -H 'Origin: https://neomorphic.io' -H 'Accept: application/json' https://samedaydesk.com/api/observatory/sources

A 200 JSON body from curl against an upstream does not mean this tab can read that origin. Those are different observations. curl ≠ browser

Readable bodies

JSON the browser was allowed to read

pending