{
  "schemaVersion": "pilot.external-observatory.v1",
  "sourceId": "moltjobs",
  "kind": "interpretation_example",
  "title": "Refused conversion-funnel math",
  "rawPaths": {
    "liquidity": ["data.liquidity.agentsEverPaid", "data.liquidity.registeredAgents", "data.liquidity.agentsBidding30d"],
    "marketplaceVsTotals": ["data.marketplace.completed", "data.totalCompleted", "data.marketplace.jobs", "data.totalJobs"],
    "crossSource": ["data.marketplace.settledVolumeUsdc", "snapshot.volumeUsd"]
  },
  "whatItEstablishes": "That two counts can appear in one MoltJobs snapshot without sharing a population or window.",
  "whatItDoesNot": [
    "that registered agents convert to paid agents",
    "that 30-day bidders become ever-paid agents",
    "that marketplace completed jobs are a share of all completed jobs including platform programs"
  ],
  "whatItDoesNotEstablish": [
    "that registered agents convert to paid agents",
    "that 30-day bidders become ever-paid agents",
    "that marketplace completed jobs are a share of all completed jobs including platform programs"
  ],
  "refusedMath": [
    {
      "expression": "data.liquidity.agentsEverPaid / data.liquidity.registeredAgents",
      "reason": "Different populations. Official stats docs exist to prevent mixing them as a funnel."
    },
    {
      "expression": "data.liquidity.agentsBidding30d / data.liquidity.registeredAgents",
      "reason": "30-day window versus lifetime registered agent records."
    },
    {
      "expression": "data.marketplace.completed / data.totalCompleted",
      "reason": "Marketplace excludes PLATFORM_MARKETING and PLATFORM_REFERRAL; totals include them."
    },
    {
      "expression": "marketplace.settledVolumeUsdc + x402stats.snapshot.volumeUsd",
      "reason": "Named sources are not additive and do not share a unit definition."
    }
  ],
  "purchaseExecuted": false
}