Attempt sensitivity (synthetic)
Money (modeled)
| Token cost | $0.48 |
|---|---|
| Expected gross reward | $300.00 |
| Expected net reward | +$299.52 |
| Break-even payout | $0.80 |
Learning, reuse and effort
Not converted to money. Reviewer minutes never silently inflate the net reward.
| Reviewer minutes per expected acceptance | 75 min |
|---|---|
| Minutes entered per attempt | 45 min |
| Acceptance probability | 60% |
Sensitivity ranges
Each row varies one input by ±50% (acceptance probability clamped to 0–1) and shows how the modeled result moves.
Payout → Expected net reward
varied range: 250 … 750
$149.52 – $449.52
Acceptance probability → Expected net reward
varied range: 0.3 … 0.9
$149.52 – $449.52
Input price → Token cost
varied range: 1.5 … 4.5
$0.30 – $0.66
Output price → Token cost
varied range: 7.5 … 22.5
$0.42 – $0.54
Input tokens → Token cost
varied range: 60000 … 180000
$0.30 – $0.66
Output tokens → Token cost
varied range: 4000 … 12000
$0.42 – $0.54
What this is not
- Modeled attempt sensitivity. Not actual earnings.
- Does not replace h10.bounty-economics.card.v1 staged wallet EV (pA pD pQ pS and stage costs).
- A single acceptance probability is not pA, pD, pQ, or pS. Missing stages stay unknown on the card.
- Unknown is not zero.
- Token prices are caller-supplied. This pack has no vendor price catalog.
- No currency conversion and no settlement instruction.
- Reviewer minutes are not converted into money.
- A zero token price with positive tokens is a promotional-credit warning; modeled net is then an overestimate.
- Overflow is unknown plus overflowWarning, never Infinity and never a substituted zero.
- Not paid demand, not a listing, and not a review.